CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Macara badgeMacaravsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +0.5%
Our model56.1%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Macara badge

Macara

Attack52
Defence48
Form49
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack62
Defence43
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Macara Win

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market62.5%
Edge
-11.5
Odds
1.60

Draw No Bet

Macara (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.