Liga Pro · 16 May 2026AI PICK

MacaravsIndependiente del Valle

0 - 3

Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.0%
Market said: 54.6%
Edge: +6.4 pts
Best odds: 1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +6.4%

Our model61.0%

The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Macara

Attack59

Defence51

Form51

Independiente del Valle

Attack82

Defence43

Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Miss

Our model61.0%

The market54.6%

Edge: +6.4
Odds: 1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Correct

Our model57.5%

The market46.5%

Edge: +11.0
Odds: 2.15

Draw No Bet

Macara (DNB)

Our model46.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -11.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Macara Win

Edge +2.2%

Our model36.9%

The market34.7%

Edge: +2.2
Odds: 2.88

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%

Our model10.1%

The market8.8%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 11.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1%

1-1

9.4%

1-2

9.4%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record