CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Macara badgeMacaravsSantos badgeSantos

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
46.0%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model58.4%
The market46.0%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Macara badge

Macara

Attack58
Defence62
Form60
Santos badge

Santos

Attack94
Defence53
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.7%Miss
Our model82.2%
The market77.5%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.4%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market46.0%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market53.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Macara (DNB)

Void
Our model51.1%
The market55.2%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Macara Win

Miss
Our model42.0%
The market43.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

6.8%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.