Liga Leumit badgeLiga Leumit · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Maccabi Petah Tikva badgeMaccabi Petah TikvavsHapoel Rishon LeZion badgeHapoel Rishon LeZion

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.3%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +8.5%
Our model67.3%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Maccabi Petah Tikva badge

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Attack70
Defence63
Form49
Hapoel Rishon LeZion badge

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

Attack52
Defence46
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Close
Our model67.3%
The market58.8%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.7%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Maccabi Petah Tikva (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Maccabi Petah Tikva Win

Correct
Our model46.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.3%
The market8.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-0

7.7%

1-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.