Taça de Portugal badgeTaça de Portugal · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Machico badgeMachicovsCamacha badgeCamacha

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.3%
Markets called
1 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 2

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -4.1%
Our model61.3%
The market65.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Machico badge

Machico

Attack33
Defence100
Form67
Camacha badge

Camacha

Attack33
Defence56
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.5%
The market75.2%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model61.3%
The market65.4%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Machico (DNB)

Edge +7.9%Void
Our model61.1%
The market53.2%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.88

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Machico Win

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market40.2%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.49

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.7%

1-1

15.2%

0-0

14.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.