Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Machico badgeMachicovsEstrela Calheta badgeEstrela Calheta

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +1.1%
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Machico badge

Machico

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Estrela Calheta badge

Estrela Calheta

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +0.7%
Our model72.1%
The market71.4%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Machico (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Machico Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.