Machida Zelviavs
Grulla Morioka
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 42.9%
- Edge
- +10.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.33
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.33
The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Machida Zelvia
Grulla Morioka
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -26.9
- Odds
- 1.01
Draw No Bet
Machida Zelvia (DNB)
- Edge
- -33.4
- Odds
- 1.07
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 2.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -25.7
- Odds
- 1.26
Match Winner
Machida Zelvia Win
- Edge
- -51.4
- Odds
- 1.07
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.09
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.0%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.