J1 League · 6 June 2026AI PICK

Machida ZelviavsNagoya Grampus

2 - 1

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 67.1%
Market said: 46.5%
Edge: +20.6 pts
Best odds: 2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +20.6%

Our model67.1%

The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 20.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Machida Zelvia

Attack42

Defence73

Form70

Nagoya Grampus

Attack75

Defence40

Form61

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market75.2%

Edge: +9.8
Odds: 1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.6%Correct

Our model67.1%

The market46.5%

Edge: +20.6
Odds: 2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.4%Correct

Our model63.8%

The market52.4%

Edge: +11.4
Odds: 1.91

Match Winner

Nagoya Grampus Win

Edge +22.2%Miss

Our model51.6%

The market29.4%

Edge: +22.2
Odds: 3.40

Draw No Bet

Nagoya Grampus (DNB)

Miss

Our model43.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -14.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%Miss

Our model9.5%

The market8.3%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

0-1

7.9%

1-1

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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