Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Madureira badgeMadureiravsPortuguesa RJ badgePortuguesa RJ

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Madureira badge

Madureira

Attack44
Defence34
Form40
Portuguesa RJ badge

Portuguesa RJ

Attack77
Defence61
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Close
Our model52.9%
The market42.0%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Portuguesa RJ (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Portuguesa RJ Win

Edge +0.4%
Our model40.4%
The market40.0%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model12.0%
The market10.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

1-1

9.7% · actual

1-2

9.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.