Liga 3 · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Mafravs
Academica
3 - 3Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.5%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +3.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Mafra
Academica
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Mafra Win
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Mafra (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.13
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.9%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.