Liga 3 · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Mafravs
SC Covilha
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.7%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +1.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectMafra Win
Match Winner · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Mafra
SC Covilha
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Mafra (DNB)
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 1.37
Match Winner
Mafra Win
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -5.3
- Odds
- 1.67
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.5
- Odds
- 2.08
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 6.48
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
13.4%
1-0
11.1% · actual
3-0
9.8%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.