Mafravs
Trofense
1 - 0Correct
Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 62.3%
- Markets called
- 3 of 4 right
- Final score
- 1 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
MediumEdge -0.2%
Our model62.3%
The market62.5%
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Mafra
Attack57
Defence36
Form47
Trofense
Attack36
Defence52
Form33
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +9.2%
Our model85.0%
The market75.8%
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model62.3%
The market62.5%
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Mafra (DNB)
Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Mafra Win
Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model52.4%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model46.5%
The market51.3%
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.