Mafravs
Vitória de Sernache
5 - 0Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 54.5%
- Markets called
- 4 of 5 right
- Final score
- 5 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
LowEdge -1.1%
Our model54.5%
The market55.6%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Correct
Our model72.7%
The market87.7%
- Edge
- -15.0
- Odds
- 1.14
Draw No Bet
Mafra (DNB)
Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model54.5%
The market55.6%
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model53.6%
The market54.1%
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Mafra Win
Correct
Our model52.9%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.1%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.