Primera B badgePrimera B · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Magallanes badgeMagallanesvsRecoleta badgeRecoleta

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.3%
Our model62.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Magallanes badge

Magallanes

Attack48
Defence38
Form36
Recoleta badge

Recoleta

Attack57
Defence46
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model62.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Magallanes (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Magallanes Win

Our model40.1%
The market52.1%
Edge
-12.0
Odds
1.92

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.2%

0-1

8.8%

1-2

8.6%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.