Serie D badgeSerie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Maguary PE badgeMaguary PEvsIguatu badgeIguatu

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
53.1%
Markets called
3 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 3

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

LowEdge -13.6%
Our model53.1%
The market66.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Maguary PE badge

Maguary PE

Attack43
Defence73
Form42
Iguatu badge

Iguatu

Attack60
Defence67
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +2.2%
Our model71.6%
The market69.4%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Iguatu (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-13.6
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model52.0%
The market47.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Iguatu Win

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model36.4%
The market35.7%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.