Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Maia Lidador badgeMaia LidadorvsPonte da Barca badgePonte da Barca

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
50.8%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.97

LowEdge +3.0%
Our model53.8%
The market50.8%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Maia Lidador badge

Maia Lidador

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Ponte da Barca badge

Ponte da Barca

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.1%
The market87.0%
Edge
-15.9
Odds
1.15

Draw No Bet

Maia Lidador (DNB)

Miss
Our model59.2%
The market76.3%
Edge
-17.1
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.8%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.97

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Maia Lidador Win

Miss
Our model42.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
-19.6
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.