Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Malaga badgeMalagavsCastellón badgeCastellón

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+15.0 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +15.0%
Our model73.8%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 15.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Malaga badge

Malaga

Attack74
Defence55
Form62
Castellón badge

Castellón

Attack69
Defence52
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.0%Correct
Our model73.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model68.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Malaga (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Malaga Win

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model52.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.