La Liga badgeLa Liga · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Malaga badgeMalagavsDeportivo La Coruna badgeDeportivo La Coruna

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
38.3%
Edge
+21.1 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.62

MediumEdge +21.1%
Our model59.4%
The market38.3%

The market underrated this by 21.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Malaga badge

Malaga

Attack74
Defence31
Form33
Deportivo La Coruna badge

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack46
Defence100
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model76.7%
The market70.9%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.41

Draw No Bet

Malaga (DNB)

Edge +9.7%Void
Our model68.2%
The market58.5%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.71

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.1%Close
Our model59.4%
The market38.3%
Edge
+21.1
Odds
2.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model52.7%
The market46.8%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Malaga Win

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market40.0%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

9.8% · actual

2-0

7.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.