Maldon & Tiptreevs
Aveley
1 - 0Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +3.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Aveley (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Aveley Win
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.62
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.