Mallorcavs
AD Ceuta FC
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 55.3%
- Edge
- +6.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Mallorca
AD Ceuta FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Mallorca (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.9
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Mallorca Win
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.81
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.0%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.