Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Mallorca badgeMallorcavsAD Ceuta FC badgeAD Ceuta FC

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
55.3%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +6.0%
Our model61.3%
The market55.3%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Mallorca badge

Mallorca

Attack95
Defence69
Form72
AD Ceuta FC badge

AD Ceuta FC

Attack51
Defence29
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model82.6%
The market89.3%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Mallorca (DNB)

Correct
Our model77.4%
The market81.3%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market55.3%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Mallorca Win

Correct
Our model59.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market53.0%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.81

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

9.0%

2-0

8.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.