Mallorcavs
Valladolid
2 - 0Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 49.9%
- Edge
- +10.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
MediumEdge +10.1%
Our model60.0%
The market49.9%
The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Mallorca (DNB)
Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +10.1%Close
Our model60.0%
The market49.9%
- Edge
- +10.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Mallorca Win
Correct
Our model51.7%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.91
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.