Non League Premier - Southern South · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Malvern TownvsChippenham Town

1 - 2

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.3%
Market said: 47.6%
Edge: +13.7 pts
Best odds: 2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +13.7%

Our model61.3%

The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Malvern Town

Attack24

Defence35

Form14

Chippenham Town

Attack40

Defence44

Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.1%Correct

Our model77.1%

The market73.0%

Edge: +4.1
Odds: 1.37

Draw No Bet

Chippenham Town (DNB)

Edge +11.6%Correct

Our model65.4%

The market53.8%

Edge: +11.6
Odds: 1.86

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Close

Our model61.3%

The market47.6%

Edge: +13.7
Odds: 2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.4%Miss

Our model52.5%

The market43.1%

Edge: +9.4
Odds: 2.32

Match Winner

Chippenham Town Win

Correct

Our model43.2%

The market44.2%

Edge: -1.0
Odds: 2.26

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss

Our model14.6%

The market16.8%

Edge: -2.2
Odds: 5.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6%

0-0

15.2%

1-1

14.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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