Serie D badgeSerie D · 28 June 2026AI PICK

Manauara badgeManauaravsIndependência badgeIndependência

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+17.1 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50

MediumEdge +17.1%
Our model57.1%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 17.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Manauara badge

Manauara

Attack60
Defence87
Form69
Independência badge

Independência

Attack60
Defence44
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model75.3%
The market92.6%
Edge
-17.3
Odds
1.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.1%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+17.1
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model55.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Manauara Win

Miss
Our model48.7%
The market87.7%
Edge
-39.0
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Manauara (DNB)

Void
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

1-1

9.8% · actual

0-1

9.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.