Premier League badgePremier League · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Manchester City badgeManchester CityvsArsenal badgeArsenal

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.6%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+21.2 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +21.2%
Our model73.6%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 21.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Manchester City badge

Manchester City

Attack76
Defence74
Form73
Arsenal badge

Arsenal

Attack58
Defence79
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.2%Correct
Our model73.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+21.2
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.1%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Manchester City (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Manchester City Win

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.