Premier League badgePremier League · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Manchester United badgeManchester UnitedvsLiverpool badgeLiverpool

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +4.1%
Our model70.8%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Manchester United badge

Manchester United

Attack66
Defence57
Form67
Liverpool badge

Liverpool

Attack63
Defence54
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model70.8%
The market66.7%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model67.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Manchester United (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Manchester United Win

Correct
Our model45.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.