Premier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Manchester Unitedvs
Nottingham Forest
3 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.1%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +7.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Manchester United (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Manchester United Win
- Edge
- -12.2
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.