Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Manta FC badgeManta FCvsEmelec badgeEmelec

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.9%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+11.2 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +11.2%
Our model74.9%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Manta FC badge

Manta FC

Attack15
Defence45
Form21
Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack37
Defence42
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model74.9%
The market63.7%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model72.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Emelec (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Emelec Win

Our model34.7%
The market43.5%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model32.1%
The market27.9%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
3.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

32.1% · actual

0-1

27.8%

1-0

11.2%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.