Manta FCvs
LDU de Quito
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 80.9%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +21.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 21.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -10.2
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
LDU de Quito (DNB)
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -6.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
LDU de Quito Win
- Edge
- -17.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 3.74
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
23.3%
0-0
23.6%
0-2
13.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.