Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Manta FC badgeManta FCvsLDU de Quito badgeLDU de Quito

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.9%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+21.0 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +21.0%
Our model80.9%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 21.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Manta FC badge

Manta FC

Attack16
Defence40
Form20
LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack51
Defence66
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.0%Correct
Our model80.9%
The market59.9%
Edge
+21.0
Odds
1.67

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market85.5%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Edge +13.7%Void
Our model70.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-17.1
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model23.3%
The market26.7%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
3.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

23.3%

0-0

23.6%

0-2

13.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.