Manta FCvs
Libertad
2 - 1Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.0%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +14.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 14.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Manta FC
Libertad
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +14.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Libertad (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Libertad Win
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 3.40
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 3.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
28.9%
0-1
28.3%
0-2
12.2%
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.