Mantovavs
Empoli
3 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.3%
- Market said
- 50.5%
- Edge
- +14.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.98
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectMantova Win
Match Winner · best price 1.98
The market underrated this by 14.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Mantova
Empoli
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Mantova (DNB)
- Edge
- +18.7
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Mantova Win
- Edge
- +14.8
- Odds
- 1.98
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.1
- Odds
- 1.99
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.79
Correct Score
Score: 3-0
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.40
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.4% · actual
4-0
7.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.