Serie C badgeSerie C · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Maranhão badgeMaranhãovsPaysandu badgePaysandu

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+16.7 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +16.7%
Our model59.3%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 16.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Maranhão badge

Maranhão

Attack37
Defence35
Form31
Paysandu badge

Paysandu

Attack91
Defence44
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.7%Miss
Our model59.3%
The market42.6%
Edge
+16.7
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model54.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Paysandu (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Paysandu Win

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model47.6%
The market34.5%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.9%
The market9.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.9% · actual

0-2

9.9%

1-2

9.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.