Serie D badgeSerie D · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Marcílio Dias badgeMarcílio DiasvsBlumenau badgeBlumenau

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Marcílio Dias badge

Marcílio Dias

Attack50
Defence74
Form53
Blumenau badge

Blumenau

Attack74
Defence100
Form83

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Marcílio Dias (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Marcílio Dias Win

Our model36.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.