Serie D · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Marcílio Diasvs
Brasil DE Pelotas
4 - 1Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.9%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +13.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.3
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Marcílio Dias (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Marcílio Dias Win
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 8.95
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.1%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.