Serie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK
Marcílio Diasvs
Portuguesa
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.0%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +11.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Portuguesa (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 2.20
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.9
- Odds
- 2.62
Match Winner
Portuguesa Win
- Edge
- -4.4
- Odds
- 2.45
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.7%
1-1
12.2% · actual
0-2
8.1%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.