Second League badgeSecond League · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Marek badgeMarekvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas badgeChernomorets 1919 Burgas

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.2%
Market said
61.3%
Edge
+11.9 pts
Best odds
1.63

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.63

High confidenceEdge +11.9%
Our model73.2%
The market61.3%

The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Marek badge

Marek

Attack32
Defence55
Form44
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas badge

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Attack46
Defence100
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.9%Close
Our model73.2%
The market61.3%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.63

Draw No Bet

Marek (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.4%
The market52.1%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.92

Match Winner

Marek Win

Our model38.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.9%

1-0

14.2%

0-0

11.5%

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.