Marekvs
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
3 - 0Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.2%
- Market said
- 61.3%
- Edge
- +11.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.63
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.63
The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Marek
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.24
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.63
Draw No Bet
Marek (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.92
Match Winner
Marek Win
- Edge
- -11.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
0-0
11.5%
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.