Veikkausliiga badgeVeikkausliiga · 23 June 2026AI PICK

Mariehamn badgeMariehamnvsHJK Helsinki badgeHJK Helsinki

0 - 4
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.7%
Market said
68.0%
Edge
+6.7 pts
Best odds
1.47

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.47

High confidenceEdge +6.7%
Our model74.7%
The market68.0%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mariehamn badge

Mariehamn

Attack42
Defence46
Form29
HJK Helsinki badge

HJK Helsinki

Attack100
Defence64
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Correct
Our model74.7%
The market68.0%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
1.47

Match Winner

HJK Helsinki Win

Our model66.7%
The market74.6%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model64.0%
The market56.5%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.77

Draw No Bet

HJK Helsinki (DNB)

Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.4%
The market7.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-3

8.1%

0-2

7.0%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.