Veikkausliiga badgeVeikkausliiga · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Mariehamn badgeMariehamnvsKuPS badgeKuPS

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model59.7%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mariehamn badge

Mariehamn

Attack69
Defence45
Form43
KuPS badge

KuPS

Attack55
Defence39
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Mariehamn (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model55.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Mariehamn Win

Edge +31.0%Miss
Our model48.8%
The market17.8%
Edge
+31.0
Odds
5.61

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.0%
The market9.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0%

1-1

9.5% · actual

2-1

9.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.