Serie C badgeSerie C · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Maringá badgeMaringávsAmazonas badgeAmazonas

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +3.2%
Our model54.5%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Maringá badge

Maringá

Attack80
Defence34
Form48
Amazonas badge

Amazonas

Attack45
Defence37
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.5%
The market90.1%
Edge
-16.6
Odds
1.11

Draw No Bet

Maringá (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Maringá Win

Miss
Our model51.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
-13.7
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

10.0%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.