Serie C badgeSerie C · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Maringá badgeMaringávsAO Itabaiana badgeAO Itabaiana

4 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.1%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+3.3 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +3.3%
Our model61.1%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Maringá badge

Maringá

Attack69
Defence51
Form58
AO Itabaiana badge

AO Itabaiana

Attack29
Defence48
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Maringá (DNB)

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model66.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model61.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Maringá Win

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model59.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.91

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.