Serie C badgeSerie C · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Maringá badgeMaringávsGuarani Campinas badgeGuarani Campinas

0 - 5
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.1%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+17.6 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +17.6%
Our model63.1%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 17.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Maringá badge

Maringá

Attack83
Defence46
Form62
Guarani Campinas badge

Guarani Campinas

Attack39
Defence76
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Maringá (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.6%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market45.5%
Edge
+17.6
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Maringá Win

Edge +12.8%Miss
Our model62.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model55.0%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model9.8%
The market8.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.79

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.8%

2-0

9.8%

2-1

9.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.