Serie C badgeSerie C · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Maringá badgeMaringávsSanta Cruz badgeSanta Cruz

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.7%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+24.2 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +24.2%
Our model69.7%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 24.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Maringá badge

Maringá

Attack93
Defence38
Form67
Santa Cruz badge

Santa Cruz

Attack45
Defence59
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.2%Close
Our model69.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Maringá (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Void
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Maringá Win

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

2-0

8.4%

3-1

8.0%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.