Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Maritimo badgeMaritimovsAcademico Viseu badgeAcademico Viseu

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
55.5%
Edge
+3.9 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.9%
Our model59.4%
The market55.5%

The market underrated this by 3.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Maritimo badge

Maritimo

Attack38
Defence75
Form58
Academico Viseu badge

Academico Viseu

Attack33
Defence50
Form17

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Maritimo (DNB)

Void
Our model61.1%
The market65.4%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.53

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market55.5%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market51.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Maritimo Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.6%
The market13.3%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.6%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

12.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.