Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Marítimo badgeMarítimovsBolívar badgeBolívar

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.4%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model66.4%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Marítimo badge

Marítimo

Attack44
Defence57
Form33
Bolívar badge

Bolívar

Attack44
Defence52
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Close
Our model66.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Marítimo (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Marítimo Win

Correct
Our model47.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.5%

0-1

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.