Primeira Liga · 8 August 2026AI PICK
Maritimovs
Casa Pia
1 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 52.2%
- Edge
- +2.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Draw No Bet
Casa Pia (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -11.8
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Casa Pia Win
- Edge
- -4.4
- Odds
- 2.62
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.60
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.1%
1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.8%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.