Serie D - Girone H badgeSerie D - Girone H · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Martina Franca badgeMartina FrancavsNardò badgeNardò

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+14.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Martina Franca Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +14.8%
Our model64.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 14.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Martina Franca badge

Martina Franca

Attack77
Defence45
Form64
Nardò badge

Nardò

Attack50
Defence84
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Martina Franca Win

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model64.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model59.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Martina Franca (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.0%
The market9.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9% · actual

2-0

9.0%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.