Serie D - Girone H badgeSerie D - Girone H · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Martina Franca badgeMartina FrancavsPaganese badgePaganese

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+16.6 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Martina Franca Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +16.6%
Our model65.4%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Martina Franca badge

Martina Franca

Attack83
Defence53
Form71
Paganese badge

Paganese

Attack54
Defence38
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Martina Franca Win

Edge +16.6%Miss
Our model65.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
2.05

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.0%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market44.4%
Edge
+19.0
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Martina Franca (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.8%
The market8.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-0

9.1%

2-0

8.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.