J3 League badgeJ3 League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Matsumoto Yamaga badgeMatsumoto YamagavsOsaka badgeOsaka

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+10.2 pts
Best odds
1.96

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96

MediumEdge +10.2%
Our model61.2%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Matsumoto Yamaga badge

Matsumoto Yamaga

Attack40
Defence63
Form30
Osaka badge

Osaka

Attack71
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%
Our model83.7%
The market80.0%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.2%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market51.0%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
1.96

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Matsumoto Yamaga (DNB)

Void
Our model53.5%
The market60.2%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.66

Match Winner

Matsumoto Yamaga Win

Miss
Our model44.8%
The market47.8%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.09

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

10.4%

0-2

7.4%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.