League One badgeLeague One · 5 July 2026AI PICK

Meizhou Kejia badgeMeizhou KejiavsChangchun Yatai badgeChangchun Yatai

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +1.8%
Our model53.1%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Meizhou Kejia badge

Meizhou Kejia

Attack40
Defence34
Form36
Changchun Yatai badge

Changchun Yatai

Attack56
Defence36
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model71.6%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Changchun Yatai (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Changchun Yatai Win

Correct
Our model41.1%
The market41.7%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.