League One badgeLeague One · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Meizhou Kejia badgeMeizhou KejiavsDongguan United badgeDongguan United

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model56.5%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Meizhou Kejia badge

Meizhou Kejia

Attack38
Defence34
Form31
Dongguan United badge

Dongguan United

Attack38
Defence37
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model56.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Meizhou Kejia (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market83.3%
Edge
-29.7
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Meizhou Kejia Win

Correct
Our model33.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-21.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.7%

1-1

15.2%

0-0

14.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.