Melbourne Cityvs
Adelaide United
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.2%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +5.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Melbourne City Win
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Melbourne City (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.