A-League badgeA-League · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Melbourne City badgeMelbourne CityvsAdelaide United badgeAdelaide United

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.2%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model69.2%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Melbourne City badge

Melbourne City

Attack53
Defence47
Form55
Adelaide United badge

Adelaide United

Attack66
Defence48
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model69.2%
The market63.7%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model66.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Melbourne City Win

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model55.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Melbourne City (DNB)

Miss
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.